Go Ahead Eagles vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
23.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2009 |
HER
0 - 2
GAE
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
GAE
2 - 3
EIN
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
BVO
0 - 0
GAE
47%
26%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2009 |
GAE
3 - 2
HEL
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2009 |
FCD
2 - 0
GAE
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
EXC
4 - 1
FCE
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
ZWO
1 - 0
EXC
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2009 |
EXC
4 - 0
FCD
46%
25%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2009 |
FCO
1 - 2
EXC
31%
25%
44%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2009 |
EXC
2 - 1
GRA
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |