Go Ahead Eagles vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
41.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
BOS
0 - 0
GAE
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2005 |
GAE
0 - 1
RJC
25%
22%
54%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2005 |
GAE
1 - 2
GRA
53%
23%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2005 |
MVV
1 - 0
GAE
45%
24%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2005 |
GAE
2 - 2
EIN
52%
23%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2005 |
EXC
2 - 1
APE
64%
20%
16%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2005 |
EXC
0 - 1
BOS
54%
22%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2005 |
EXC
3 - 1
VOL
47%
25%
29%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2005 |
GRA
1 - 1
EXC
36%
25%
39%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2005 |
EIN
0 - 6
EXC
38%
25%
37%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |