Go Ahead Eagles vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1973 |
ADO
2 - 0
GAE
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
GAE
1 - 0
BOS
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1973 |
TWE
3 - 0
GAE
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
GAE
0 - 1
AJA
22%
27%
51%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
TEL
3 - 0
GAE
39%
29%
32%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1973 |
EXC
2 - 3
AMS
25%
29%
47%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
HFC
2 - 0
EXC
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1973 |
EXC
1 - 0
AZA
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
MVV
3 - 0
EXC
77%
16%
8%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1973 |
EXC
0 - 4
SPA
10%
17%
73%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | -1 |