Go Ahead Eagles vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
67.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
BVO
2 - 0
GAE
43%
25%
32%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
GAE
2 - 1
UTR
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
TWE
3 - 1
GAE
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
GAE
4 - 1
ZWO
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
GAE
1 - 1
HER
42%
24%
34%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
AJA
3 - 1
FEY
65%
21%
15%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
AJA
1 - 0
PSV
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2014 |
GAL
2 - 1
AJA
35%
24%
41%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
RJC
1 - 2
AJA
15%
20%
66%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2013 |
IJS
0 - 3
AJA
11%
18%
70%
|
89 | 56 | 33 | -1 |