Gnistan vs Sudet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.6%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
6.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gnistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
LPS
2 - 4
GNI
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
GNI
2 - 4
PAL
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2011 |
GIR
2 - 4
GNI
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
KAP
2 - 6
GNI
18%
22%
60%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
GNI
5 - 0
KOO
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sudet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SUD
1 - 2
ATL
24%
22%
54%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
KAP
1 - 2
SUD
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
SUD
0 - 1
MIK
21%
23%
56%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
GIR
5 - 0
SUD
82%
12%
6%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2011 |
SUD
1 - 2
PAL
25%
23%
52%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |