Gloucester City vs Worcester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
42.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gloucester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
GLO
0 - 1
GAI
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
GLO
1 - 1
NOR
23%
24%
53%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 0
GLO
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
GLO
2 - 1
BRA
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
GLO
2 - 0
BAR
21%
23%
56%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
WOR
0 - 1
BRA
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
HED
0 - 0
WOR
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
TAM
1 - 0
WOR
42%
27%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2014 |
WOR
0 - 1
HAL
36%
27%
38%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
STA
0 - 1
WOR
24%
25%
51%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |