Gloucester City vs Kidderminster Harriers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
45.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gloucester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
NUN
1 - 1
GLO
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
CUR
0 - 0
GLO
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
GLO
4 - 0
ALF
43%
24%
33%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
HAL
0 - 1
GLO
68%
19%
14%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
GLO
1 - 1
TOW
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
KID
1 - 2
HAL
44%
25%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
KID
1 - 0
TOW
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
TAM
3 - 4
KID
26%
25%
49%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
FYL
2 - 2
KID
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
KID
3 - 0
ALF
63%
20%
17%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |