Gloucester City vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gloucester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
GLO
1 - 1
NOR
23%
24%
53%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 0
GLO
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
GLO
2 - 1
BRA
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
GLO
2 - 0
BAR
21%
23%
56%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2014 |
GLO
1 - 2
TAM
32%
25%
43%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
GAI
1 - 2
BRA
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
NOR
2 - 1
GAI
73%
16%
11%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
LOW
2 - 0
GAI
44%
24%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
GAI
3 - 0
NOR
25%
24%
51%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
HED
2 - 1
GAI
64%
19%
17%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |