Série D Brazil Final Stages Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Globo vs URT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
35.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Globo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
URT
1 - 0
GLO
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
GLO
3 - 1
GUA
56%
24%
21%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 1
GLO
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
GLO
2 - 0
PAR
60%
23%
18%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 3
GLO
31%
27%
42%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
URT
1 - 0
GLO
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 1
URT
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
URT
0 - 0
VIL
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
POR
1 - 1
URT
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
URT
1 - 0
POR
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |