Série D Brazil Final Stages Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Globo vs SD Juazeirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Globo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
GLO
2 - 0
FLU
42%
27%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
SDJ
3 - 1
GLO
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
FLU
1 - 1
GLO
43%
27%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
GLO
1 - 0
URT
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
URT
1 - 0
GLO
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
SD Juazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
SDJ
3 - 1
GLO
42%
27%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
ARN
1 - 1
SDJ
59%
21%
20%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
SDJ
3 - 0
ARN
24%
27%
50%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +2 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
SDJ
0 - 0
FLU
39%
27%
34%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
FLU
3 - 3
SDJ
46%
25%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |