Globo vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
49.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Globo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
TRE
1 - 0
GLO
25%
27%
48%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
GLO
2 - 0
FER
36%
28%
37%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
SAM
2 - 0
GLO
56%
25%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
CON
2 - 1
GLO
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
GLO
1 - 1
IMP
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
NAU
3 - 1
CON
58%
24%
19%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
NAU
1 - 0
TRE
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
FER
0 - 1
NAU
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
IMP
2 - 0
NAU
22%
28%
50%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
NAU
1 - 1
ABC
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |