Série D Brazil Final Stages Last 16
Global 4-1
Globo vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Globo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 1
GLO
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
GLO
2 - 0
PAR
60%
23%
18%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 3
GLO
31%
27%
42%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
GLO
2 - 0
PAR
52%
24%
23%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 2
GLO
38%
27%
35%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 1
GLO
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 1
SOU
49%
25%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
SOU
3 - 1
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 1
RIV
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
POT
1 - 2
GUA
39%
26%
36%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |