UCL Qualifying First round Final
Global 0-1
Glentoran vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
29.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2003 |
LIN
1 - 1
GLE
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
GLE
0 - 0
OMA
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2003 |
POR
3 - 0
GLE
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
COL
2 - 2
GLE
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
INS
0 - 4
GLE
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2003 |
HJK
1 - 1
TPS
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
HJK
6 - 3
VII
84%
12%
5%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2003 |
MYP
2 - 0
HJK
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
HJK
0 - 0
FFJ
67%
20%
14%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2003 |
FFJ
2 - 3
HJK
30%
27%
43%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |