Glentoran vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
6º
4º
23
11º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 3
GLE
16%
25%
59%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
GLE
0 - 1
LAR
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
MOY
0 - 2
GLE
10%
17%
73%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 0
GLE
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
GLE
1 - 2
LIN
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 1
GLE
17%
21%
62%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 0
DUN
70%
19%
12%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 1
ARD
33%
22%
45%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
DUN
25%
23%
51%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 0
NEW
35%
25%
41%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +2 |