Glentoran vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.1%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
5.5%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
6º
4º
23
11º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
LOU
0 - 2
GLE
28%
24%
48%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
GLE
4 - 0
LAR
45%
26%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 1
GLE
16%
24%
60%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
LIN
0 - 3
GLE
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
GLE
5 - 0
CAR
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
COL
3 - 0
DUN
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 2
CRU
10%
19%
72%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 1
BAL
24%
24%
52%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 0
DUN
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
GLE
5 - 0
DUN
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |