Glenorchy Knights vs Tilford Zebras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.5%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
75.5%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenorchy Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
DEV
11 - 0
GLE
91%
7%
3%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
GLE
2 - 5
KIN
21%
19%
60%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
LAU
6 - 0
GLE
59%
19%
22%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
GLE
0 - 8
SOU
6%
11%
83%
|
13 | 45 | 32 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
NOR
7 - 1
GLE
81%
12%
7%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Tilford Zebras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
TIZ
1 - 1
NOR
80%
13%
8%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
OLY
1 - 0
TIZ
34%
23%
44%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
TIZ
1 - 2
SOU
31%
23%
46%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
TIZ
1 - 1
LAU
87%
9%
4%
|
40 | 11 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
DEV
2 - 0
TIZ
15%
19%
66%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | -2 |