Glenorchy Knights vs Tilford Zebras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
71.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenorchy Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
LAU
2 - 1
GLE
33%
22%
45%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
GLE
1 - 1
OLY
13%
18%
69%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
DEV
3 - 0
GLE
87%
9%
4%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
GLE
2 - 4
KIN
52%
21%
28%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
NOR
3 - 1
GLE
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Tilford Zebras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
TIZ
2 - 0
KIN
86%
10%
4%
|
38 | 13 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
LAU
0 - 2
TIZ
11%
18%
71%
|
39 | 10 | 29 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
TIZ
2 - 2
NOR
79%
13%
8%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
OLY
2 - 4
TIZ
34%
23%
43%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
SOU
0 - 0
TIZ
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |