Glenorchy Knights vs Tilford Zebras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
65.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenorchy Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
LAU
2 - 6
GLE
60%
19%
20%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
GLE
0 - 2
OLY
15%
19%
66%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
DEV
2 - 0
GLE
86%
9%
4%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
GLE
2 - 4
KIN
39%
23%
38%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 1
GLE
73%
16%
12%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tilford Zebras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
TIZ
2 - 3
KIN
80%
13%
7%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
LAU
4 - 2
TIZ
10%
17%
73%
|
35 | 7 | 28 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
TIZ
4 - 0
NOR
76%
15%
9%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
OLY
0 - 1
TIZ
37%
23%
39%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
SOU
3 - 0
TIZ
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |