Glenorchy Knights vs South Hobart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
3.9%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.1%
84.6%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
6.2%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
18.7%
0-4
8.6%
1-5
3.9%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
13.4%
0-5
5.5%
1-6
2.1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
7.9%
0-6
2.9%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
4%
0-7
1.3%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0%
-7
1.7%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenorchy Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
NOR
12 - 1
GLE
91%
7%
3%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
OLY
14 - 0
GLE
90%
7%
3%
|
8 | 32 | 24 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
GLE
0 - 7
TIZ
9%
16%
76%
|
9 | 38 | 29 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
DEV
11 - 0
GLE
91%
7%
3%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
GLE
2 - 5
KIN
21%
19%
60%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
South Hobart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
KIN
0 - 5
SOU
7%
12%
81%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
SOU
3 - 0
NOR
85%
10%
5%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
LAU
1 - 0
SOU
6%
10%
84%
|
45 | 12 | 33 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2015 |
KIN
0 - 4
SOU
12%
15%
73%
|
45 | 17 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
OLY
1 - 1
SOU
20%
20%
60%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |