Glenorchy Knights vs South Hobart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
67.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenorchy Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2013 |
HOB
3 - 1
GLE
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
GLE
4 - 0
LAU
83%
12%
6%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
OLY
2 - 1
GLE
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
GLE
2 - 3
DEV
19%
22%
60%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
KIN
3 - 1
GLE
27%
23%
50%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
South Hobart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
LAU
0 - 11
SOU
9%
17%
73%
|
43 | 10 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
SOU
3 - 2
OLY
65%
19%
17%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
DEV
1 - 2
SOU
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SOU
6 - 1
KIN
83%
12%
6%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 2
SOU
15%
20%
64%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |