Glenorchy Knights vs Olympia Warriors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
74.2%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.6%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenorchy Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
GLE
6 - 0
LAU
37%
20%
43%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
GLE
1 - 1
DEV
27%
20%
53%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
GLE
1 - 0
KIN
22%
18%
60%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
SOU
10 - 0
GLE
90%
7%
3%
|
7 | 43 | 36 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
GLE
1 - 12
NOR
8%
14%
78%
|
7 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Olympia Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2017 |
OLY
3 - 2
KIN
89%
8%
3%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
SOU
6 - 2
OLY
66%
17%
17%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
OLY
2 - 0
HOB
38%
21%
41%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
OLY
4 - 0
CLA
93%
6%
2%
|
31 | 8 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
NOR
1 - 4
OLY
7%
13%
80%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | 0 |