Glenorchy Knights vs Launceston City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.2%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
80.7%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
6.2%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.6%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
3.8%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12%
0-5
4.4%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
6.8%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
3.3%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+307%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenorchy Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
GLE
1 - 7
SOU
5%
10%
85%
|
7 | 44 | 37 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
NOR
12 - 1
GLE
91%
7%
3%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
OLY
14 - 0
GLE
90%
7%
3%
|
8 | 32 | 24 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
GLE
0 - 7
TIZ
9%
16%
76%
|
9 | 38 | 29 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
DEV
11 - 0
GLE
91%
7%
3%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Launceston City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
LAU
1 - 2
TIZ
16%
19%
66%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
OLY
9 - 0
LAU
80%
12%
8%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
DEV
0 - 1
LAU
74%
14%
12%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
LAU
1 - 0
SOU
6%
10%
84%
|
12 | 45 | 33 | +7 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
KIN
2 - 1
LAU
69%
16%
15%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |