Glenorchy Knights vs Kingborough Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.2%
59.8%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
5.5%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
3.5%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenorchy Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
SOU
10 - 0
GLE
90%
7%
3%
|
7 | 43 | 36 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
GLE
1 - 12
NOR
8%
14%
78%
|
7 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
GLE
0 - 12
OLY
8%
15%
77%
|
7 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2015 |
TIZ
6 - 0
GLE
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 37 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
DEV
4 - 0
GLE
91%
7%
3%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Kingborough Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
KIN
2 - 2
CLA
85%
9%
6%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
SOU
10 - 0
KIN
91%
6%
2%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
KIN
0 - 6
HOB
10%
14%
76%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
KIN
3 - 5
DEV
13%
15%
72%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
KIN
1 - 5
OLY
19%
19%
62%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |