Glenorchy Knights vs Hobart Zebras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
64.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenorchy Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
LAU
3 - 3
GLE
10%
17%
73%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2013 |
GLE
0 - 1
OLY
21%
21%
58%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
DEV
4 - 0
GLE
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2013 |
GLE
2 - 1
KIN
59%
20%
21%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 2
GLE
63%
19%
18%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Hobart Zebras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2013 |
HOB
5 - 1
KIN
83%
11%
6%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
LAU
1 - 3
HOB
9%
16%
76%
|
35 | 7 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
HOB
3 - 2
NOR
77%
14%
9%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
OLY
1 - 1
HOB
40%
23%
37%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 3
HOB
69%
17%
14%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +2 |