Glenorchy Knights vs Devonport FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
52.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenorchy Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
GLE
1 - 0
KIN
22%
18%
60%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
SOU
10 - 0
GLE
90%
7%
3%
|
7 | 43 | 36 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
GLE
1 - 12
NOR
8%
14%
78%
|
7 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
GLE
0 - 12
OLY
8%
15%
77%
|
7 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2015 |
TIZ
6 - 0
GLE
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 37 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Devonport FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
HUF
0 - 6
DEV
20%
20%
60%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |