Glenorchy Knights vs Devonport City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
71.2%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
5º
3º
55
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 2 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenorchy Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
GLE
4 - 0
CZF
80%
12%
7%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
KIN
2 - 0
GLE
35%
21%
43%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
GLE
1 - 1
SOU
25%
21%
54%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
GLE
3 - 0
ROF
89%
8%
2%
|
28 | 10 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
LAU
2 - 1
GLE
9%
14%
77%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Devonport City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
KIN
4 - 3
DEV
13%
17%
71%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
DEV
2 - 0
SOU
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
LUS
0 - 5
DEV
4%
10%
86%
|
44 | 7 | 37 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ROF
0 - 6
DEV
5%
11%
84%
|
44 | 10 | 34 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LAU
0 - 1
DEV
6%
13%
81%
|
45 | 18 | 27 | -1 |