Glenorchy Knights vs Devonport City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
63.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenorchy Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
KIN
2 - 3
GLE
61%
20%
20%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
GLE
1 - 4
NOR
43%
23%
34%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 0
GLE
84%
11%
5%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2013 |
GLE
3 - 3
HOB
16%
20%
64%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
LAU
3 - 3
GLE
10%
17%
73%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Devonport City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
DEV
9 - 0
LAU
87%
9%
4%
|
35 | 7 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
OLY
2 - 4
DEV
39%
23%
38%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
DEV
1 - 1
HOB
51%
22%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
KIN
5 - 4
DEV
14%
19%
66%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | -2 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
DEV
5 - 2
NOR
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |