Glenorchy Knights vs Devonport City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
59.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenorchy Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
KIN
3 - 1
GLE
27%
23%
50%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
GLE
0 - 5
NOR
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
SOU
3 - 3
GLE
77%
14%
9%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Devonport City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
DEV
7 - 1
LAU
86%
10%
4%
|
38 | 11 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
OLY
2 - 1
DEV
33%
24%
44%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
DEV
5 - 2
HOB
60%
21%
20%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |