Glenorchy Knights vs Clarence Zebras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.3%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.7%
3.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-104%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
3º
1º
11
6º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenorchy Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
KIN
3 - 7
GLE
60%
18%
21%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
SOU
3 - 2
GLE
73%
15%
13%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
GLE
7 - 1
ROF
86%
10%
4%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
LAU
1 - 1
GLE
11%
16%
73%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
GLE
4 - 0
LUS
85%
10%
5%
|
29 | 7 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Clarence Zebras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
CZF
1 - 1
LAU
34%
22%
44%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 3
CZF
23%
20%
57%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
KIN
4 - 3
CZF
91%
6%
2%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
CZF
0 - 1
SOU
7%
12%
82%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
CZF
0 - 4
DEV
10%
14%
76%
|
15 | 44 | 29 | -1 |