Glenorchy Knights vs Clarence Zebras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
7.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-104%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
5º
3º
29
3º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 2 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenorchy Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
KIN
2 - 0
GLE
35%
21%
43%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
GLE
1 - 1
SOU
25%
21%
54%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
GLE
3 - 0
ROF
89%
8%
2%
|
28 | 10 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
LAU
2 - 1
GLE
9%
14%
77%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | -2 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
GLE
5 - 0
LUS
90%
7%
3%
|
30 | 7 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Clarence Zebras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
LAU
0 - 3
CZF
68%
17%
15%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
LUS
1 - 2
CZF
18%
19%
63%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
CZF
2 - 5
KIN
13%
15%
72%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
CZF
1 - 6
SOU
7%
11%
82%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
DEV
5 - 1
CZF
90%
7%
3%
|
16 | 46 | 30 | -1 |