Glenavon vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
LIN
0 - 0
GLE
69%
19%
13%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
CRU
2 - 0
GLE
78%
14%
8%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
GLE
1 - 3
GLE
27%
25%
49%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
GLE
1 - 0
COL
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
GLE
10 - 0
COA
54%
21%
25%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
LIS
2 - 4
CRU
27%
23%
51%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
LIS
0 - 5
GLE
33%
25%
42%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
LIS
1 - 2
CRU
28%
25%
48%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
DUN
0 - 2
LIS
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
LIS
2 - 0
TOB
68%
18%
14%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |