Glenavon vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
NEW
0 - 3
GLE
45%
25%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
INS
0 - 1
GLE
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
GLE
3 - 2
DUN
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
GLE
2 - 2
GLE
28%
26%
46%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
CRU
3 - 0
GLE
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
LIS
1 - 2
LIN
17%
23%
60%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
GLE
1 - 0
LIS
76%
16%
9%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
LIS
0 - 1
CRU
23%
26%
51%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
COL
2 - 1
LIS
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
LIS
0 - 2
BAL
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -2 |