Glenavon vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
50.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
GLE
1 - 3
LIN
20%
21%
58%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2009 |
GLE
3 - 1
NEY
56%
22%
22%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
GLE
1 - 4
LIN
19%
23%
58%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
COL
2 - 1
GLE
62%
21%
18%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
GLE
2 - 3
BAN
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
LIS
1 - 2
INS
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
LIS
1 - 0
TOB
75%
17%
8%
|
68 | 37 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2009 |
COL
1 - 1
LIS
35%
25%
39%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
LIS
3 - 1
NEW
58%
23%
18%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
CLI
3 - 0
LIS
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |