Glenavon vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
35.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
GLE
0 - 2
NEW
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
INS
1 - 0
GLE
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
GLE
0 - 4
LAR
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
DUN
3 - 1
GLE
44%
25%
31%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2003 |
CLI
2 - 0
GLE
46%
26%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
LIS
3 - 2
INS
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
GLE
0 - 1
LIS
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
LIS
1 - 1
COL
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
POR
4 - 1
LIS
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2003 |
CRU
1 - 1
LIS
43%
26%
32%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |