Glenavon vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
DUN
1 - 1
GLE
15%
21%
64%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
LIN
0 - 0
GLE
49%
24%
28%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
GLE
4 - 0
COL
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CLI
4 - 2
GLE
35%
24%
41%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
GLE
3 - 3
INS
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
INS
1 - 0
ARD
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
INS
6 - 4
CLI
23%
25%
52%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
INS
3 - 3
GLE
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
GLE
3 - 3
INS
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
CRU
3 - 2
INS
76%
16%
9%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | -1 |