Glenavon vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
10.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
DUN
2 - 1
GLE
20%
23%
57%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
GLE
1 - 3
CLI
38%
24%
38%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
POR
3 - 2
GLE
47%
24%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
GLE
2 - 4
GLE
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
GLE
1 - 2
LIN
41%
24%
35%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
INS
1 - 1
CRU
14%
21%
65%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
GLE
2 - 1
INS
68%
20%
13%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
INS
0 - 2
BAL
49%
25%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
POR
4 - 1
INS
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
COL
4 - 0
INS
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |