Glenavon vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
DUN
4 - 0
GLE
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
GLE
2 - 0
GLE
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
GLE
1 - 1
CRU
40%
25%
34%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2009 |
COL
3 - 0
GLE
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2009 |
GLE
2 - 3
GLE
34%
24%
42%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2009 |
INS
0 - 1
DUN
34%
27%
40%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
INS
0 - 3
GLE
20%
25%
55%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
DUN
6 - 2
INS
53%
22%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
CRU
1 - 2
INS
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
INS
2 - 2
COL
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |