Glenavon vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2008 |
LIS
1 - 0
GLE
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
CLI
4 - 0
GLE
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2008 |
GLE
1 - 0
LIN
20%
23%
57%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
LIS
6 - 2
GLE
65%
22%
13%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2008 |
GLE
1 - 1
LIS
23%
23%
54%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
INS
4 - 2
NEW
27%
26%
48%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
CLI
1 - 1
INS
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
INS
0 - 2
LIS
20%
24%
55%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
BAL
0 - 1
INS
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
INS
1 - 2
LIN
16%
22%
61%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |