Glenavon vs Harland & Wolff Welders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
GLE
2 - 3
CRU
20%
23%
57%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
DON
1 - 0
GLE
28%
24%
49%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
GLE
0 - 3
LIN
22%
23%
55%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
POR
2 - 0
GLE
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
GLE
4 - 1
BAL
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Harland & Wolff Welders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
HAR
2 - 1
DUN
28%
24%
48%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
HAR
2 - 0
OUS
61%
21%
17%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
ARD
2 - 1
HAR
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
LOU
4 - 2
HAR
48%
24%
29%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
INS
2 - 0
HAR
50%
26%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |