Glenavon vs Glentoran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
43.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
7º
10º
7º
65
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CLI
2 - 2
GLE
61%
22%
18%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
GLE
3 - 2
BAL
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GLE
4 - 2
CAR
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
LIN
3 - 2
GLE
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CRU
3 - 2
GLE
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GLE
3 - 1
DUN
81%
13%
6%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
LOU
0 - 2
GLE
28%
24%
48%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
GLE
4 - 0
LAR
45%
26%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 1
GLE
16%
24%
60%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
LIN
0 - 3
GLE
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |