Glenavon vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
7º
10º
7º
23
11º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
GLE
1 - 2
LOU
49%
22%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
GLE
16%
21%
63%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
GLE
0 - 1
CLI
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
GLE
6 - 0
DOL
72%
16%
12%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GLE
2 - 2
CAR
67%
20%
14%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 1
POR
48%
22%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 1
LIN
12%
21%
68%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 0
POR
48%
23%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 0
DUN
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
DUN
3 - 0
QUB
59%
21%
21%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +2 |