Glenavon vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
10.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
WAR
1 - 2
GLE
23%
24%
53%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
BAL
0 - 3
GLE
17%
20%
63%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CRU
2 - 2
GLE
66%
19%
15%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2014 |
LIN
2 - 1
GLE
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
GLE
4 - 2
POR
44%
24%
33%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
BAL
4 - 1
DUN
64%
20%
17%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
DUN
1 - 2
CLI
17%
22%
61%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2014 |
DUN
0 - 2
COL
48%
25%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
WAR
0 - 1
DUN
41%
25%
33%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
COL
2 - 3
DUN
52%
22%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |