Glenavon vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
GLE
1 - 1
GLE
29%
25%
46%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
CLI
2 - 1
GLE
73%
17%
11%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
GLE
2 - 2
DUN
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 2
GLE
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
GLE
4 - 0
DON
56%
22%
21%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 1
CLI
24%
25%
51%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 2
DUN
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
GLE
2 - 2
DUN
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 1
DON
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
DUN
3 - 2
LIS
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |