Glenavon vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
9º
12º
10º
50
4º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2025 |
LAR
1 - 1
GLE
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
GLE
3 - 1
CLI
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
GLE
0 - 2
DER
31%
25%
45%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
CLI
3 - 2
GLE
48%
23%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
GLE
2 - 1
CAR
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
CRU
3 - 1
BAL
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
LAR
0 - 1
CRU
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
CRU
1 - 0
LIM
51%
22%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
LIN
2 - 1
CRU
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CRU
3 - 2
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |