Glenavon vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
43.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 2
GLE
15%
19%
66%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
GLE
0 - 3
LIN
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
WAR
0 - 3
GLE
23%
21%
56%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
LAR
3 - 2
GLE
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
GLE
0 - 1
BAL
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
CRU
2 - 0
POR
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
BAL
2 - 0
CRU
34%
25%
41%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 2
CRU
11%
19%
70%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
CRU
0 - 1
GLE
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 2
CRU
14%
21%
65%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |