Glenavon vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
GLE
1 - 2
LOU
86%
10%
4%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2018 |
LIN
0 - 2
GLE
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 2
GLE
9%
17%
74%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2018 |
ARD
1 - 6
GLE
17%
21%
61%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
COL
1 - 1
GLE
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
CRU
3 - 1
BAL
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ICT
3 - 2
CRU
21%
21%
58%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
CRU
4 - 2
GLE
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 3
CRU
9%
17%
74%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
CLI
4 - 1
CRU
37%
23%
40%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |