Glenavon vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
GLE
2 - 2
LIN
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CLI
3 - 0
GLE
40%
25%
36%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
GLE
5 - 0
BAL
67%
19%
15%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
GLE
14%
20%
66%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
GLE
4 - 2
HAR
78%
14%
8%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
CRU
1 - 0
COL
64%
21%
16%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
CRU
0 - 3
LIV
72%
17%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
LIN
0 - 0
CRU
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
CRU
3 - 1
CAR
82%
13%
6%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
BAL
2 - 1
CRU
31%
24%
45%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |