Glenavon vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
29.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
BAN
0 - 2
GLE
6%
12%
81%
|
71 | 40 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
GLE
0 - 6
KRR
46%
23%
31%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
KRR
2 - 1
GLE
41%
24%
35%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
GLE
2 - 0
LIN
48%
22%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
GLE
0 - 1
LIN
52%
23%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
CRU
5 - 0
LCE
80%
14%
7%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
FCK
6 - 0
CRU
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
CRU
0 - 3
FCK
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
GLE
0 - 1
CRU
29%
26%
44%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CRU
1 - 0
COL
72%
18%
11%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |