Glenavon vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CLI
3 - 1
GLE
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
GLE
1 - 1
BAL
81%
13%
7%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
GLE
4 - 3
CRU
52%
21%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
COL
0 - 1
GLE
21%
24%
55%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
GLE
1 - 0
BAL
81%
13%
6%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CRU
2 - 0
LIN
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
GLE
4 - 3
CRU
52%
21%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
BAL
0 - 1
CRU
13%
21%
66%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CRU
2 - 0
DUN
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 3
CRU
16%
22%
62%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |