Glenavon vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
27.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
COL
0 - 1
GLE
21%
24%
55%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
GLE
1 - 0
BAL
81%
13%
6%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
WAR
1 - 3
GLE
17%
22%
61%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
GLE
2 - 1
LOU
85%
11%
5%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
LIN
1 - 1
GLE
44%
25%
32%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
BAL
0 - 1
CRU
13%
21%
66%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CRU
2 - 0
DUN
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 3
CRU
16%
22%
62%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 4
CRU
11%
20%
69%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | -7 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CRU
0 - 0
BAL
87%
10%
3%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |